Sunday, January 29, 2017

Super Bowl LI Preview.

        A tradition unlike any other, my annual Super Bowl Preview.  I only turn this thing on once a year and that's to do a tale of the tape for the upcoming Super Bowl. I'll break it down by positions until we have our winner, with no further ado let's check out the Falcons and the Patriots.

QB Advantage: Patriots, This is nothing against Matt Ryan this is only because according to this reporter Tom Brady is the greatest ever.  Brady playing in his 7th Super Bowl with a chance to win his 5th (most for a QB).  Brady and Ryan are both playing at a high level but if you look at who has what, (which we'll get to) Tom has the slight edge.  If both guys plays to their abilities we'll have one hell of a game.

RB Advantage: Falcons, I like the 3 headed monster New England rolls out with Blount, Lewis, and White, but Freeman and Coleman are both studs.  For context I used Tevin Coleman in fantasy football all year and he was the "back up." Last week Coleman torched Green Bay, with his running and pass catching, him and Dion Lewis are a lot alike but Coleman is better and Freeman is a lot better than Blount who hasn't gotten going in the postseason.

WR Advantage: Falcons, no #disrspkt to New England's white guy posse, but Julio Jones is in the conversation for best WR in the league.  Sanu is a good 2nd fiddle and that Gabriel can be a secret weapon of sorts.  I love Edelman, Hogan, and Amendola but Julio is a match up nightmare and if he does his thing, Atlanta should be in business.

TE Advantage: New England, Martellus Bennet has the edge on Austin Hooper only because of his age and experience.  Imagine if New England had Gronk.

Offensive Line Advantage: Falcons, Atlanta has started all 18 games with the same Offensive Line, that's a huge deal.  Center Alex Mack got dinged in the NFC Championship Game but should be back.  If one of these teams can run the ball they will win.  The lines have to be sharp in pass protection and stay away from penalties.

Defensive Line Advantage: Push, I will admit I haven't watched much of either team, but from what I saw last week, New England will only rush four.  Atlanta did get after Aaron Rodgers a little bit but not much with just 4 guys.  If New England can get to Matt Ryan with just 4 guys huge advantage to them.

LB Advantage: Falcons, only because I like Vic Beasley, other than that not sure.  New England really relies on the LB's in pass coverage, will be interesting how/if they use LB pressure to get to Matt Ryan.

Secondary Advantage: Patriots, and they're gonna need it.  The Belichik Formula is we'll take away your best weapon, so if they neutralize Julio then they got a shot.  Against Pittsburgh they sat back in zone and rallied to the receiver.  Atlanta has a different obstacle, to stop the short passing and WR screen game of the Patriots.  This will be where the game is won, if someone can force a turnover they get the advantage.

Special Teams Advantage: Push, the kickers are the same, punters won't be a factor and either of the returners have ability to break one.

Coach Advantage: Patriots, this isn't even close.  Belichick is in the pantheon of great coaches, Dan Quinn isn't.

Final Score: Patriots 4 Falcons 4, a first ever tie.  Can't say I planned it but it just so worked out perfectly.  I don't have a good feel for this game, I love Brady but I also like Atlanta.  I'm a Julio guy since his Bama days and Matt Ryan is my QB on my Madden Franchise.  This is the first Super Bowl I can remember where I'll be happy no matter who wins.  Brady and Belichick getting #5 would be special and maybe people would realize they are witnessing history.  On the other hand Atlanta getting one would be awesome for the franchise the great players on their team.  Let's have a great game and good time watching, enjoy.  Follow me on twitter @derekbredeson for my thoughts during the game and in general, see ya next year. Forgot my score prediction, New England 36 Atlanta 35, Patriots score as time expires and they go for 2 and get it.

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