Tuesday, September 28, 2010

Thoughts 9-28-2010

Football is 3 weeks old and no posts yet, what the crap your wondering, I KNOW. Instead of breaking down week 3 I'm going to give some thoughts on everything from football to the chase. Lets go to the tape.

Biggest story of the NFL so far, the Chiefs are 3-0. They've got the makings of a good year, easy division, easy schedule, they also have tons of talent. The team is full of speed just need to keep this up.

The other two undefeated teams Pittsburgh and Chicago are both ok, schedule has favored both, but both teams are good and could make runs. Pitts D is really really good.

The 49ers suck.

The Redskins have problems, should be 0-3, but hey I said we'd struggle, big hopes were not mine for sure.

Micheal Vick needs to play someone before I think he's legit. The Pack weren't ready for him, and the Lions and Jax may two of the worst teams in the league.

So, Dallas lost the first two, now they'll rattle off 8 or 9 in a row, then December will come along and they'll suck again. Don't overeact either way.

Alabama is the best team in the country, their tough on both sides of the ball and the young defense will only get better.

Boise St. is good but please if two teams from the best 3 conferences go undefeated they'll get no shot, and frankly this year they wouldn't be able to play with Alabama or Ohio St.

The Chase is heating up, Denny is in the lead by 35 and got through two of his worst tracks. Things are looking good if he can keep his head on, and the car doesn't let him down.

Wish I would've done this last week b/c I would've said don't count out Jimmie Johnson, they guy has 4 in a row he all the sudden didn't forget how to win.

Baseball is way past heating up, The American League is about wrapped up, but the National League West and Wild Card are both great races.

The Giants have the lead in the west, with 3 this week against Arizona they can pull away from San Diego before their weekend series starts on Friday.

Enough about the Phillies having the best staff in the National League, the Giants gave up less than 3 runs in 19 straight games, if that's not the best staff not sure what else you need to do.

I'll take Timmy, Zito, and Cain over Halladay, Hamels, and Oswalt any day, just b/c Philly is on the east coast everyone loves them. Matt Cain took a no hitter into the 8th on Sunday, in Colorado in the pennant race that's clutch, also Timmy took a perfect game into the 6th on Friday night.

That's all for now, maybe I'll start posting more.

Wednesday, September 15, 2010

It's Chase time

Have to interrupt football for a second, NASCAR's playoffs are starting and I need to get my champion pick in. The playoffs are called "The Chase," frankly and odd name but whatever. The Chase just so happens to be at the worst time of year, right when the NFL starts up, so unless your driver is in the top 12 you've checked out, as Chris will since his driver sucks. I'm gonna break this down into the have's, have not's, and sleepers. 12 guys make the chase but only about 4 to 5 have a legit shot at winning it, the guys who've ran up front all year, not just got finished every race and seemed to get top 20's all the time, Matt Kenseth, in the chase you only get 10 races and top 20's won't do it.

First up the have not's

Matt Kenseth, he drives a ford for one, which in the first 26 races as a company has one win. He also doesn't seem to have that touch anymore. Since Matt lost his crew chief that he won his championship he hasn't been as good and he seems to get a new chief every year. I just don't like his chances.

Jeff Burton, the second most respected driver in the garage, Burton is old school and drives with class every week. I like Jeff but he doesn't have the killer instinct it's gonna take to win this, you have to win races to win the chase and Burton doesn't win races.

Carl Edwards, once again a Ford they don't have as much speed at the Yoda's and Chevy's. Personally I hate Carl and hate that damn backflip, I don't like his chances, he has the aggression but not the smarts or speed.

Greg Biffle, Ford need I say more, the Rousch guys are good drivers but one win between 3 "elite" drivers I don't like their chances. Rousch has as many wins as Micheal Waltrip racing, not good.

How about a few sleepers,

Kurt Busch, he was very tough in the beginning of the year but the summer has been tough on him. He's more mature than he was, but he still has that mean streak, I wouldn't be surprised of he won this, but I also wouldn't be surprised if he got 12th.

Clint Bowyer, raced his way into the chase, has the same equipment as Harvick. He also finished second 2 years ago, but RCR moved him to a new team last year and he took a step back. I've liked Bowyer for a while and think he could sneak up on the other drivers.

Now the 6 guys who are gonna race for this deal, all are tough, a few are champions, and a couple are crazy.

Jeff Gordon, he hasn't won all year, gonna need to change that. He's a 4-time champ in a different time. He gets the "contender" label just b/c he dominated the 90's, Hendrick has the power but I think the other car in his stable is better behind the wheel and on the box.

Tony Stewart, former multiple time champion, only driver to win championship in both formats. He has his own team, gets his motors from Hendrick. He has the power, but his crew makes mistakes and sometimes he does as well. I like Smoke, and want him to be successful on his own, I just don't like the chances this year.

Kyle Busch, he's the new Kyle, whatever that means. He is a better performer this year, keeps his cars in control for the most part, he's also gotten better at driving his cars when their "junk." He has a chance b/c he can rattle wins off, but when he screws up he blames everyone and then screws up on the track and ends his day. I think Kyle can put it together just not this year.

Kevin "Happy" Harvick. Happy had the points lead all year, and has been the best driver of the regular season. He's not a sleeper since he's been up front all year, and the guy gets top 10's almost weekly. He's won a few times this year so that won't be the problem. Once again I like him but more than these last 2.

Jimmie Johnson, can struggle all he wants he's still the favorite heading into the chase. You don't win 4 in a row and not get that respect. He has the power, the crew, the ability, and the best crew chief in the series. He makes all the right calls, but this year he's had more than one incident where his crew screwed up, or he did. Those mistakes weren't made until this year. If he wins this good for him I won't be shocked but I'll be annoyed that the next guy didn't.

This years champion is Denny Hamlin, comes in leading the chase with 6 regular season wins. Last year had 2 wins in the chase and 5 top 5's. The guy is focused, his team is focused. As long as his cars don't have mechanical failures that spelled him twice last year in the chase, he more mature so he won't wreck himself like he did last year. Denny has been a man on a mission all year and that mission to replace Jimmie as champion of this series, I think he'll do it, and maybe just maybe get some fans along the way. Denny's a good driver people take notice and stop cheering for crappy 88.

Thursday, September 9, 2010

Afc North

Here's what I think about the north. This is going to be a great division to watch on Sundays. Three hard nosed teams and one cupcake to beat the crap out of twice.
1. Baltimore. I'm on their band wagon. Flacco is looking good. Entering his third year he has weapons on weapons. Ray Rice is a complete running back. The defense is a little older and depleted at corner and safety. The offense has enough talent to make up for the loses.
2. Pittsburgh. Well Big Ben put them in a hole for the first four games of the year. But the NFL loves the Steelers and gave them an easier schedule for the first four. They where supposed to play opening night before Ben let his dick out. Dennis Dixion will start those first four. Its like 1995 in Pittsburgh. Slash 2.0. Mike Wallace will be streaking down the sidelines. Hes a flyer. But of course its the Steelers so its all about the d. Good news Troys not on Madden this year. The course is gone. Lamar Woodley is a beast.
3. Cinncy. Well I wanna say they'll take second but i just can't do it. This will turn into a circus. The ring leader will be Chad Johnson.(refuse to call him anything else) I believe T.O. will put up better numbers than Chad. Owens had three shitty to put it nicely q.bs to deal with last year. And in my mind Chads not that great. Always pisses me off a bit to see Ced Benson running well. Carson have fun! You better step it up a bit. Defense is a great group that gets tons of turnovers.
4. Cleveland. Who cares! I don't. I only care when my fantasy players play them.

NFL Predictions

The season is hours away, I'm gonna give all my division winners, wild cards, championship game winners and of course a Super Champ. First though a few musings/predictions for the upcoming season.

Washington is gonna wish we had a young RB.

Minnesota is gonna wish it would've worked on the O-Line this off season.

Dallas is not the most talented team in the league, stop it.

San Diego is gonna miss that go to wide receiver at the beginning of the year.

New York Jets will be disappointed this year

Seattle I'm not sure what your doing up there, but I don't think it's gonna work, are you trying to get the Seahawks to move to Oklahoma too?

Green Bay stop listening to ESPN, your offense is good, but unless your secondary is healthy your in trouble, Chaz Woodson can't cover everyone.

Is Revis in shape?

Albert Haynesworth will be a distraction all year, unless he gets moved or cut, even when he starts he'll be a baby.

Enough with that onto who's gonna win.

AFC first
East-New England
North-Baltimore
South-Indianapolis
West-San Diego
Wild Cards-New York and Houston

AFC Championship Colts over Baltimore, I watched ESPN today and everyone loves Baltimore, all they did was add a few wide receivers and their the best team in the conference? Also, every guy says this a QB league and 7 months ago you were crowning Peyton Manning the best ever, all the sudden now a 3-year vet in Joe Flacco is gonna take over, I doubt it. I like the Colts, their healthy and have all kinds of weapons.

NFC
East-New York
North-Green Bay
South-New Orleans
West-San Francisco
Wild Cards-Atlanta and Minnesota

NFC Championship this is so lame, but New Orleans over Green Bay. New Orleans has all 11 back on offense, a small tribe at wide receiver, a gaggle at running back. Aggressive defense with an explosive offense. I like Green Bay but fear the defense will struggle unless the secondary is 100% healthy. Once again, you expect me to take Rogers over Brees in a huge game, I like Rogers but not yet, he'll get there but not this year.

Super Bowl in Dallas, Colts take down the Saints, if Gonzalez is healthy the Colts will have as many weapons as the Saints, and this year everyone won't be kissing the Saints asses when they get there. The Colts will be the dogs and use it to their advantage.

Monday, September 6, 2010

NFL preview NFC East

The time has come, time to review everyone's favorite division, the NFC East home of the Redskins, VaGiants, Iggles and Cowgirls. I know I'm a bit biased in this division so I'm gonna shock you and not put a lot of stock in the Redskins this season. We have by far the most questions, let's take a look.

Dallas is first alphabetically but last in your hearts, I know. They made some questionable moves with their offensive line, defense and coaching staff. What those moves are I don't know, their the sexy pick to win the Super Bowl b/c their hosting it, big deal. They have a loser head coach, loser QB, three RB's who need the rock, and a stupid WR in Roy Williams. They did however get the steal of the draft in Dez Bryant. I'm not a fan of this team and I'm not sure what the hype is about, where did they improve?

New York, well once again I didn't do my homework on these guys. They still have Eli, who is a loser. They have a decent O-Line, new stadium, not sure about their D. I've heard their gonna throw more this year, but frankly I don't care. I can't stand Eli, Tom Coughlin, Osi, or pretty much any of their guys. I will say when it comes to fantasy in a pinch I'll pick a Giant, as opposed to an Eagle, and I'll never take a Cowgirl.

Philly, they made maybe the boldest move ever in the NFL, sending their franchises best ever QB to a division rival (see Green Bay it's not that hard to do). They have put their trust in a young QB, who has no back-up, the Vick thing was cute no longer. They also have moved on in the backfield letting go of Brian Westbrook. So, let me get this right, young QB, young RB, their best WR is only a 3 year guy, their 2nd WR is a 2nd year guy, apparently Andy Reid doesn't like his job.

Washington, where do I begin. New coach, new QB, new defensive scheme, same stupid owner. We made some moves, none of them helped the team but we made some moves. We had Willie Parker in camp and eventually released him, when instead we could've had Brian Westbrook. We made the move for McNabb, I like the move but once again we've surrounded him with nobody's. Got Trent Williams in the draft, I like him he's kind of mean. Larry Johnson is old. We're switching to the 3-4, not sure I like it for our personnel but in a few years we'll have it. Albert Haynesworth needs to go. Our WR's are Santana Moss and Joey Galloway, really? I have zero good feeling about this year.

Onto the predictions the division champ is the New York Giants going 8-8, yeah that's right traditionally the best division the champ is gonna go 8-8. I just don't like any of the teams and don't feel anyone is a legit contender.

Washington 8-8, miss the playoffs, we just have an easier schedule than the rest, I like the direction we're going just need to get a youth movement and Shannahan's players in the system.

Dallas 7-9, who cares, of course their gonna go 10-6 and get everyone's hopes up till Romo chokes in the playoffs.

Philly 6-10, you don't get rid of all your weapons and get better. Andy Reid is a fat Walrus with a headset and won't last two more years before he's fired or has a heart attack.

Final note, watch baseball the divisions are heating up and the Wild Card is hot as well, GO GIANTS, only one out.

Friday, September 3, 2010

Afc West

This division is about as easy as the Nfc west.
1. Chargers. I mean was it really in question. SHOCKER!!!! One of the most talented teams in the league. But they won't make the Super Bowl again. They lose L.T. But gain Ryan Mathews. At this point upgrade. Vincent Jackson holding out. I don't know why he thinks he deserves to be paid like a top five wide out. Antonio Gates obviously helps him out. Ron Rivera really helps the defense out. They don't have to be great just good.
2. Chiefs. Really was a toss up between them and Oakland. Jamal Charles is the real deal. Thomas Jones can't unseat him. Matt Cassel is serviceable. I guess I could get paid to if I had to throw to Randy Moss and Wes Welker. Pumped to watch Eric Berry on Monday night football week one.
3. Oakland. Well they got way better when they added Jason Campbell. I'm guessing Run Dmc busts out for them. D-line is good. Are they going to challenge the Chargers? No.
4. Denver. Josh McDaniels is in trouble. He's ran out all the real talent this team had. Cutler Marshall gone. Orten and Royal in. Ouch. Moreno is talented but seems like he cant handle being a full time number one back. D is old and hurt

Nfc West

Well well well I'm here and its football time! Feel that chill in the air? Its time to enjoy another year of football cause to be honest we don't really know if we'll see it next year. So I'm going to start and tell you (Derek) what I think about the Nfc West.
1. 49ers. They really win this division by default. Alex Smith really isn't a starter. They live and die with Frank Gore. D is alright but it looks wwwwaaaaayyyy better playing Seattle and St. Louis twice a year. I don't think anybody will challenge them.
2. Cardnials. So this team had a hell of a turn over. They lost way to much to really contend. Losing Kurt Werner and gaining Derek Anderson is well comparing Megan Fox to Rosie O' Donnell. Woof. Beanie Wells has bust tattooed on is forehead. Hes a hell of a back but it seems like a five year old could kick his ass. Defense is suspect. Lost some good players but this weak division will help em out.
3. Seahawks. I can't take Pete Carroll serious. I don't think he really wants to do this. I mean at USC it was easy to get talent. I mean show em great weather some basket weaving classes and a Playboy of the girls hell any guy would commit. Just hope he doesn't pull a Steve Spurrier and start pick up old players left and right. Well Matt Hasselbeck is about injury prone as Beanie Wells. They have about four backs and no wide receivers. So I don;t know who they will throw to. The d well at least linebackers and corners are alright. Been looking for pass rush for while now. Plus their shit green uni's no thanks.
4. Rams. In a shocker huh? Well at least they have a qb for the future. I'm not sold but a lot of people are drinking the kool aid on him. No o line in like ten yrs. No defense ever. I hope Steven Jackson demands a trade. He's way to good to be doing this year after year.

Thursday, September 2, 2010

Big Division

Gotta take a break from the NFL preview extravaganza to talk about yesterday's announcement of the new Big Ten. The Big Ten took a huge leap and instead of splitting the divisions geographically they instead looked for competitive balance when making them. On the Big Ten Network they call the divisions X and O, names are coming in the next 90 days or so, but for today we'll use them. Division X consists of Illinois, Indiana, Penn St., Purdue, and Ohio St., while division Y has Iowa, Michigan, Michigan St., Minnesota, Nebraska, and Northwestern. The glaring thing is OSU and Michigan are in separate divisions, how does that work, well the Big Ten is gonna have a cross over rival for each team from the other division and that breaks down like this, OSU-Mich, Mich St.-Indiana, Wis-Minn, Iowa-Pur, and PSU-Neb. So, each year you have 6 guaranteed games, and you'll also play the remaining 5 schools 4 times every 10 years. I almost forgot the divisions are ONLY FOR FOOTBALL, this has nothing to do with basketball, or the olympic sports. Big Ten Commish Jim Delaney said the AD's will look at how to break them other sports down, if they need to be.

Now, I love how they did this, instead of going geographic they looked at competitive balance first and foremost. They looked at records for every team dating back to 1993, when Penn St. joined the conference. This is how I see it, they ranked the teams and went down the line and split them accordingly, here is how I think the rankings shook down. 1 OSU-Michigan, 2 Penn St-Nebraska, 3 Iowa-Wisconsin, 4 Michigan St.-Purdue 5.Northwestern-Illinois, 6 Minnesota-Indiana. Historically those are how it breaks down most of the time, each school has off years but Michigan's has only been for two years and once Rich Rod is fired they'll be back. Another thing to look at is, these are only set for the next 2 years, if they feel the divisions need a tweak they can do it, these aren't set in stone and the Big Ten has been by far the most pro-active conference in the nation when it comes to change. They scared everyone into expansion this year, they were also the first conference to have league wide replay. So, in two years they feel it's not working they'll shake things up. The new divisions also work out for when Pittsburgh and Rutgers join the league, they'll just move Wisconsin over to division O, b/c their gonna have to guarantee them games against Penn St. every year.

Next they looked at rivalries, people are clamoring b/c some rivals won't play every year, hate to break it to you but all rivalries haven't played in a few years. In the old Big Ten you were only given two teams every year, now you have 6. Last year of the 12 trophy games played in the Big Ten 10 were played, next year 9 will be. The only rivalry that's not renewed from what I can see is Iowa-Wisconsin. Wisconsin instead gets to keep Minnesota and renew an every year rivalry with Illinois. In the old Big Ten you weren't guaranteed that game now you are. Iowa gets to start a new rivalry with Nebraska, and at least for the next two years end the season playing each other, I love this and can't wait. Iowa was the natural decision to get the first crack for a rivalry with Nebraska, as states we border each other, and we have about the same economy, CORN. I'm guessing a Corn Cup is in the works, just sayin.

I'm excited about the new Big Ten, and I think the conference left the door open for more expansion. The new rivalries are gonna be great and I can't wait for that first championship game to be played in Indianapolis, which is crap by the way, you have how many great cities in the midwest and you keep giving Indy all the championships, they host the basketball tourney as well. I for one wanted Lambeau to get it, and maybe even set up a rotation within the conference, you know Cleveland, Pittsburgh, Detroit, Green Bay, Indy, Chicago, and Minneapolis. But screw everywhere else Indiana needs it, I guess.